Comments for Kuma's Lair http://www.scottkuma.net It's just like my brain - only cleaner. Wed, 20 Aug 2008 14:20:41 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6 Comment on Evan Walking!! by Rob Crozier http://www.scottkuma.net/evan-walking#comment-21 Rob Crozier Sun, 17 Aug 2008 03:50:04 +0000 http://www.scottkuma.net/?p=64#comment-21 Scott, That is awesome :) woot! Scott,

That is awesome :) woot!

]]> Comment on 2008 NCAA Auto-Pick Page by bevo http://www.scottkuma.net/2008-ncaa-auto-pick-page#comment-5 bevo Thu, 20 Mar 2008 02:06:54 +0000 http://www.scottkuma.net/this-years-ncaa-auto-picker/#comment-5 Great idea for a site, and much appreciated. But you can get some better probabilities for outcomes as a function of seed difference from an academic article by Hal Stern and Barbara Mock in Chance Magazine, Vol. 11:1, pp26-31. The main difference is that they find they you need a different set of probabilities when a #1 seed is involved. Yours match theirs pretty well when a 1 is NOT involved, but significantly deflate the favorite's chances when the favorite is a 1. Happy to send you the article if you e-mail me. Keep up the good work! Great idea for a site, and much appreciated. But you can get some better probabilities for outcomes as a function of seed difference from an academic article by Hal Stern and Barbara Mock in Chance Magazine, Vol. 11:1, pp26-31. The main difference is that they find they you need a different set of probabilities when a #1 seed is involved. Yours match theirs pretty well when a 1 is NOT involved, but significantly deflate the favorite’s chances when the favorite is a 1. Happy to send you the article if you e-mail me. Keep up the good work!

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